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SBV Technical Analysis - Trading Volume with Confidence
Using SBV and Moving Averages
An Example of a Trading System
Based on the SBV and Moving Averages
For making trading decisions, the use of multiple technical studies has
always been considered to be safer than reliance on only one indicator, even one
of the best indicators. Many traders use several technical indicators to build a
reliable trading system. This is considered to be good practice. The SBV
oscillator is no exception. It can be used along with other technical studies to
improve the performance of the system, making it safer and adapting it to your
personal trading style.
Volume and price are always connected. There is no price movement without volume
and there is no volume
without a price movement. That is why we consider volume to be one of the most
important parameters of the stock market. In order to receive a complete picture
of the market, one should always analyze price along with the corresponding
volume. We strongly believe that a
trading system that uses at least one volume-based technical indicator,
together with a price-based technical indicator, is much better and more
reliable then a trading system that is based solely on price indicators, no
matter how many indicators are used.
In our examples below, we show how our SBV oscillator can be used in conjunction
with price moving averages.
However, these are not the only technical indicators that can be used with SBV.
The SBV can be used also with RSI, Stochastics, MACD, advance/decline indicators
and other technical studies.
The rules below describe our simple SBV trading system:
- Once the SBV indicator declines below minus 20% (the indicator will now
show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
- Once the SBV indicator advances above minus 20% (after having been
below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows
red);
- Once the SBV indicator rallies above plus 20% (the indicator will
now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
- Once the SBV indicator declines below plus 20% (after having been
above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows
green).
Moving averages are among the most popular and easy-to-use indicators known
in technical analysis. Moving
averages smooth prices by making it easier to identify the trend direction.
Basically, they are trend-following indicators. For greater trading safety, it
is always best to follow the golden rule that states that the trend is your
friend and trade in the direction of the trend.
Two simple moving averages with different bar periods can be used to confirm a
trend in an analyzed time-frame. We call the moving average with the shorter bar
period a fast moving average and the moving average with the longer bar period a
slow moving average. When the fast moving average is growing and running above
the slow moving average, it is considered to be confirmation of an up-trend.
When the fast moving average is sliding downward and moves below the slow moving
average, it is considered to be confirmation of a down-trend.
According to these moving average
rules, a simple SBV trading system can be modified to a more conservative
trading system that uses the
SBV oscillator and two simple
moving averages by adding the following simple rules:
Rule #5: Open a long trade if the
SBV
oscillator generates a signal
to buy only when the fast moving average is above the slow moving average (when
an up-trend is confirmed by moving averages). Ignore SBV signals to open a long
trade when the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.
Rule #6: Open a short trade if the SBV oscillator generates a
signal to sell only when the fast moving average is below the slow moving
average (when a down-trend is confirmed by moving averages). Ignore SBV
signals to open a short trade when
the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.
Of course, the 6-rule trading system that combines SBV and moving averages
will generate fewer trades and will increase the time that a trader remains in
cash. However, the number of losing trades can be reduced to a minimum by this
system. This system can be used by traders who wish to have trades of short
duration – those who wish to jump into the market at the safest moment and
pocket their profits as quickly as possible.
V. K.
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