S&P 500:
An Example of a Trading
System using the SBV Oscillator
July 25, 2008
+28 points on the S&P 500 in a week
This week SBV chart example is based on the 15-day SBV(16)
S&P 500 chart.
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 15-day view. 1 bar =
15 min. SBV(16)
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It's
Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following
simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
-
Once the SBV indicator declines below minus 33% (the
indicator will now show green), we enter a short position (if we are
not already short);
-
Once the SBV indicator advances above minus 33% (after having
been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator
still shows green);
-
Once the SBV indicator rallies above plus 33% (the indicator
will now show red), we enter a long position (if we are not already
long);
-
Once the SBV indicator declines below plus 33% (after having
been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator
still shows red);
-
If the SBV dropped into negative territory and started to rise without
hitting the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in
the positive territory, and stay in cash until a new buy signal is
generated. Vise versa for a long position.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule
(additional stop-loss rule) system.
|
Open Trades |
Closed Trades |
Profit
(points) |
|
Time |
Motivation |
Trade |
Index |
Time |
Motivation |
Trade |
Index |
|
07/17/08 |
rule #4 |
Sell Short |
1256 |
07/18/08 |
rule #5 |
Buy to Cover |
1256 |
0 |
|
07/21/08 |
rule #4 |
Sell Short |
1263 |
07/22/08 |
rule #5 |
Buy to Cover |
1261 |
+2 |
|
07/23/08 |
rule #4 |
Sell Short |
1282 |
07/25/08 |
rule #2 |
Buy to Cover |
1257 |
+25 |
|
07/25/08 |
rule #2 |
Buy |
1257 |
07/25/08 |
|
|
1258 |
+1 |
|
Total:
|
+28 |
Note: The 33% level for the SBV indicator was
determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time the
trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical
levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market
situation and review a chart history of prior volume surges including their
magnitude (i.e., the level the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the option to choose
specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk
tolerance. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our
charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system you created.
| Disclaimer: The chart
example is intended for educational purposes only - it does not
constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend
predictions. |
More Examples:
|
Date |
Index |
Timeframe |
Result |
Number of Trades |
|
Jan. 02, 2009 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+242 points (+24%) |
9 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
Dec. 19, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+294 points (+31%) |
13 "Long"
and 12 "Short" |
|
Dec. 19, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+290 points (+30%) |
12 "Long"
and 12 "Short" |
|
Dec. 12, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
10-day |
+91 points (+11%) |
9 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
Dec. 5, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+354 points (+36%) |
10 "Long"
and 10 "Short" |
|
Nov. 28, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+420 points (+43%) |
10 "Long"
and 9 "Short" |
|
Nov. 21, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+244 points (+20%) |
14 "Long"
and 10 "Short" |
|
Nov. 14, 2008 |
Nasdaq 100 |
10-day |
+69 points (+5.1%) |
5 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Nov. 7, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+3,137 points (+30%) |
5 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Oct. 31, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
5-day |
+42 points (+4.7%) |
9 "Long"
and 9 "Short" |
|
Oct. 24, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+3,004 points (+27%) |
5 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Oct. 17, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+2,886 points (+26%) |
4 "Long"
and 4 "Short" |
|
Oct. 10, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+2,262 points (+20%) |
5 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Oct. 3, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+958 points (+8.3%) |
8 "Long"
and 9 "Short" |
|
Sept. 26, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+74 points (+5.8%) |
7 "Long"
and 7 "Short" |
|
Sept. 19, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+114 points (+9.0%) |
6 "Long"
and 7 "Short" |
|
Sept. 12, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+1,232
points (+11%) |
5 "Long" and 5 "Short" |
|
Sept. 5, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+734 points (+6.3%) |
5 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
Aug. 29, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+600 points (+5.2%) |
6 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Aug. 22, 2008 |
DJI |
30-day |
+995 points (+8.7%) |
5 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
Aug. 15, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+41 points (+3.2%) |
7 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
Aug. 8, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+44 points (+3.5%) |
6 "Long"
and 7 "Short" |
|
Aug. 1, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+45 points (+3.6%) |
4 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
July 25, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+28 points (+2.2%) |
1 "Long"
and 3 "Short" |
|
July 18, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+7 points (+0.0%) |
9 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
July 11, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+103 points (+7.8%) |
4 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
July 3, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+69 points (+5.2%) |
4 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
June 27, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+62 points (+4.4%) |
7 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
June 20, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+113 points (+8.5%) |
4 "Long"
and 2 "Short" |
|
June 13, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+108 points (+8.1%) |
4 "Long"
and 2 "Short" |
|
June 6, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+47 points (+3.4%) |
7 "Long"
and 10 "Short" |
|
May 30, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+201 points (+15%) |
4 "Long"
and 3 "Short" |
|
May 23, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+222 points (+16%) |
3 "Long"
and 4 "Short" |
|
May 16, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+243 points (+18%) |
4 "Long"
and 3 "Short" |
|
May 9, 2008 |
NASDAQ 100 |
10-day |
+97 points (+5.1%) |
10
"Long" and 10 "Short" |
|
May 2, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+31 points (+2.2%) |
7 "Long"
and 9 "Short" |
|
April 25, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+251 points (+18%) |
7 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
April 18, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+91 points (+6.6%) |
3 "Long"
and 3 "Short" |
|
April 11, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+39 points (+3.0%) |
4 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
April 4, 2008 |
NASDAQ 100 |
5-day |
+93
points (+5.2%) |
7 "Long" and 6 "Short" |
|
March 28, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+29
points (+2.1%) |
6 "Long" and 7 "Short" |
|
March 20, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
5-day |
+53
points (+4.2%) |
3 "Long" and 4 "Short" |
|
March 14, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
5-day |
+77
points (+6.0%) |
6 "Long" and 5 "Short" |
|
March 7, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+222 points (+15%) |
9 "Long"
and 9 "Short" |
|
Febr. 29, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+211 points (+14%) |
8 "Long"
and 8 "Short" |
|
Feb. 22, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
15-day |
+85 points (+6.4%) |
4 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
Feb. 15, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+211 points (+15%) |
7 "Long"
and 7 "Short" |
|
Feb. 8, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+214 points (+14%) |
6 "Long"
and 6 "Short" |
|
Feb. 1, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+246 points (+17%) |
5 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
Jan. 25, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+330 points (+20%) |
5 "Long"
and 5 "Short" |
|
Jan. 18, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+330 points (+22%) |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" |
|
Jan. 11, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+309 points (+21%) |
5 "Long" and 5 "Short" |
|
Jan. 4, 2008 |
S&P 500 |
60-day |
+291 points (+20%) |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" |
|
