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Chart Analysis - Index Indicators

S&P 500 Index


 

How to read charts the S&P 500 Index Indicator?

The S&P 500 Composite Stock Price Index is a market-value-weighted index (shares outstanding multiplied by stock price) of 500 stocks that are traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), American Stock Exchange (AMEX), and the NASDAQ National Market System (NASDAQ).

S&P 500 chart Analysis

When interpreting the chart above, you need to remember that the most important factor is the relationship between Index Price and the Volume Moving Average (VMA). These two signals are excellent indicators to when to short the market. In the first example we see that the index has been trending up for a short period, and that the VMA during that period has been begun increasing. This increasing VMA signals that there is a some selling pressure and that the market will change direction. The peak of the VMA signals that the market will take this new direction. But what happened was that the index only declined a short bit before resuming an upward trend on no volume. When this occurs we expect that the index will decline again soon as it did not have buying volume on it's move upwards.

On the second signal we can see that the market did change direction substantially and that the main reason for an increasing VMA here is profit taking. This profit taking will cause the index to change direction again until there is renewed buying pressure in the future.

Below is an example of how one of our exclusive institutional investors used this signal for the index to maximize profits by trading some of the derivatives of the S&P 500 index:

Security Return
Stocks 6%
Options 120%

Details of the above trades, and the derivatives used for this index, can be found in the detailed overview and in the member's section of our site.

Listed below are some of the derivatives which you can trade using this indicator:

Securities Issuer Type Symbol / Root
S&P 500 Index Fund AMEX ETF IVV
S&P 500/BARRA Growth Index Fund AMEX ETF IVW
S&P 500/BARRA Value Index Fund AMEX ETF IVE
SPDRS (Standard & Poor's Depositary Receipts) AMEX ETF SPY
S&P 500 Index Linked Notes Bank of America ETF BOA.A
S&P 500 "MITTS" Merrill Lynch ETF FML
S&P 500 "MITTS" Merrill Lynch ETF MLF
S&P 500 "MITTS" Merrill Lynch ETF MPF
S&P 500 Callable Notes Morgan Stanley ETF JMS.A
S&P 500 Index "TIERS" Salomon Smith Barney ETF RSB
S&P 500 Principal Protected Notes Salomon Smith Barney ETF ASB
S&P 500 Index "TIERS" Structured Products Corp. ETF HSB
S&P 500 Index "TIERS" Structured Products Corp. ETF SRB
BULS linked to the S&P 500 Index UBS AG ETF BUL.D
BULS linked to the S&P 500 Index UBS AG ETF BUL.E
S&P 500 Index Options CBOE Options SPX
(Reduced-value) LEAPS CBOE Options SPX
S&P Long-Dated Options CBOE Options SPL
E-mini S&P 500 CME Options on Futures ES
S&P 500 CME Options on Futures SP
S&P 500 Barra/Growth Index CME Options on Futures SG
S&P 500 Barra/Value Index CME Options on Futures SU
E-mini S&P 500 CME Futures ES
S&P 500 CME Futures SP
S&P 500 Barra/Growth Index CME Futures SG

By trading index securities using our volume indicators instead of stocks, you gain stability and predictability that stocks do not have. An index is a far more logical in it's actions than the individual stocks it's based upon.

QQQQ Signals
Past 3 Months

15%

32%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 11/20/2009

Buy / Sell Trading signals.

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11/20/2009 - SV3